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icon for Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte
Política·Brasil

Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte
Política·Brasil

Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte

Lula 97.4%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Pablo Marçal <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Lula 97.4%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Pablo Marçal <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Lula

Lula

$3,225 Vol.

97%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$507 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and BG/Perfil placing him at 55-58% support against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-28% and all other listed candidates in low single digits. This positioning reflects longstanding voter patterns in the Northeast state, where Lula secured over 62% in the 2022 first round and 65% in the runoff, backed by consistent PT organizational strength and regional economic priorities. With the October 4 first-round vote approaching, traders price in limited scope for late shifts absent major developments such as candidate withdrawals, new polling surges, or unforeseen events that could fragment the field.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,310
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling for the 2026 presidential election, with recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and BG/Perfil placing him at 55-58% support against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-28% and all other listed candidates in low single digits. This positioning reflects longstanding voter patterns in the Northeast state, where Lula secured over 62% in the 2022 first round and 65% in the runoff, backed by consistent PT organizational strength and regional economic priorities. With the October 4 first-round vote approaching, traders price in limited scope for late shifts absent major developments such as candidate withdrawals, new polling surges, or unforeseen events that could fragment the field.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,310
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lula" at 97%, followed by "Rui Costa Pimenta" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte" is "Lula" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rui Costa Pimenta" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição presidencial do Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar no Rio Grande do Norte" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.