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icon for Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar

Rafael Motta 36.1%

Zenaide Maia 24%

Styvenson Valentim 20.1%

Samanda de Lula 19%

Polymarket

$16,448 Vol.

Rafael Motta 36.1%

Zenaide Maia 24%

Styvenson Valentim 20.1%

Samanda de Lula 19%

Polymarket

$16,448 Vol.

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$1,492 Vol.

36%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$2,317 Vol.

24%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$1,487 Vol.

20%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$5,644 Vol.

19%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$534 Vol.

2%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$649 Vol.

2%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$629 Vol.

1%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$600 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$487 Vol.

1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$479 Vol.

1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$549 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$511 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,448
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,448
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rafael Motta" at 36%, followed by "Zenaide Maia" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar" is "Rafael Motta" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zenaide Maia" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.