Lula leads trader consensus for first place in Amapá's first-round presidential vote, reflecting recent state-specific polling that places him narrowly ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 36% to 33%, with all other candidates below 3%. A late-August Quaest survey of 804 Amapá voters showed high vote stability at 74% and notable shares of undecided and blank/null ballots, while national aggregates indicate Lula's broader edge. Low probabilities for names such as Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and others align with their marginal single-digit or sub-3% readings in the same fieldwork. Upcoming campaign broadcasts and debates through early October could still shift preferences in this closely contested northern state before first-round balloting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLula 63%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Hertz Dias 1.5%
Pablo Marçal 1.3%
$13,532 Vol.
$13,532 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lula
63%
Flavio Bolsonaro
32%
Hertz Dias
2%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 63%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Hertz Dias 1.5%
Pablo Marçal 1.3%
$13,532 Vol.
$13,532 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lula
$3,619 Vol.
63%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$2,617 Vol.
32%
Hertz Dias
$935 Vol.
2%
Pablo Marçal
$1,124 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$640 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$697 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$627 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$624 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$357 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$343 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$561 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$747 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$641 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads trader consensus for first place in Amapá's first-round presidential vote, reflecting recent state-specific polling that places him narrowly ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 36% to 33%, with all other candidates below 3%. A late-August Quaest survey of 804 Amapá voters showed high vote stability at 74% and notable shares of undecided and blank/null ballots, while national aggregates indicate Lula's broader edge. Low probabilities for names such as Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and others align with their marginal single-digit or sub-3% readings in the same fieldwork. Upcoming campaign broadcasts and debates through early October could still shift preferences in this closely contested northern state before first-round balloting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Volume
$13,532Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads trader consensus for first place in Amapá's first-round presidential vote, reflecting recent state-specific polling that places him narrowly ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 36% to 33%, with all other candidates below 3%. A late-August Quaest survey of 804 Amapá voters showed high vote stability at 74% and notable shares of undecided and blank/null ballots, while national aggregates indicate Lula's broader edge. Low probabilities for names such as Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and others align with their marginal single-digit or sub-3% readings in the same fieldwork. Upcoming campaign broadcasts and debates through early October could still shift preferences in this closely contested northern state before first-round balloting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$13,532Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula leads trader consensus for first place in Amapá's first-round presidential vote, reflecting recent state-specific polling that places him narrowly ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 36% to 33%, with all other candidates below 3%. A late-August Quaest survey of 804 Amapá voters showed high vote stability at 74% and notable shares of undecided and blank/null ballots, while national aggregates indicate Lula's broader edge. Low probabilities for names such as Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and others align with their marginal single-digit or sub-3% readings in the same fieldwork. Upcoming campaign broadcasts and debates through early October could still shift preferences in this closely contested northern state before first-round balloting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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