Morena maintains a substantial lead in statewide party preference polls for the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial election, yet trader pricing reflects uncertainty in the party's internal nomination process. Julieta Ramírez Padilla leads most recent surveys for the Morena coordination role that typically precedes the candidacy, ahead of Tijuana Mayor Ismael Burgueño Ruiz, with other aspirants such as Montserrat Caballero Ramírez further behind. Multiple contenders have taken leaves from public office to comply with party requirements, while ongoing polling, internal surveys, and procedural steps through late 2026 could shift positioning before formal selection. The absence of a finalized nominee or opposition alliances keeps implied probabilities closely matched across leading names ahead of the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJulieta Ramírez Padilla 48.1%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 29%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra 27.0%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez 2.1%
$29,689 Vol.
$29,689 Vol.
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
48%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
29%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
23%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
2%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
<1%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
<1%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
<1%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
<1%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
<1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
<1%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
<1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
<1%
Víctor Galicia
<1%
Armando Ayala Robles
<1%
Fernando Castro Trenti
<1%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
<1%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
<1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
<1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
<1%
Gustavo Macalpin
<1%
Juan Carlos Hank
<1%
Julieta Ramírez Padilla 48.1%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 29%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra 27.0%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez 2.1%
$29,689 Vol.
$29,689 Vol.
Julieta Ramírez Padilla
48%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz
29%
Evangelina Moreno Guerra
23%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez
2%
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega
<1%
Héctor Osuna Jaime
<1%
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe
<1%
Gina Cruz Blackledge
<1%
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros
<1%
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso
<1%
Gustavo de Hoyos Walther
<1%
Karla Ruiz Macfarland
<1%
Víctor Galicia
<1%
Armando Ayala Robles
<1%
Fernando Castro Trenti
<1%
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas
<1%
Daylín García Ruvalcaba
<1%
Ana Daniela García Salgado
<1%
Jorge Ramos Hernández
<1%
Gustavo Macalpin
<1%
Juan Carlos Hank
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a substantial lead in statewide party preference polls for the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial election, yet trader pricing reflects uncertainty in the party's internal nomination process. Julieta Ramírez Padilla leads most recent surveys for the Morena coordination role that typically precedes the candidacy, ahead of Tijuana Mayor Ismael Burgueño Ruiz, with other aspirants such as Montserrat Caballero Ramírez further behind. Multiple contenders have taken leaves from public office to comply with party requirements, while ongoing polling, internal surveys, and procedural steps through late 2026 could shift positioning before formal selection. The absence of a finalized nominee or opposition alliances keeps implied probabilities closely matched across leading names ahead of the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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