Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$21,042 Vol.
$21,042 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,042 Vol.
$21,042 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,794 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,248 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$21,042Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,042Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva (D), who won a 2025 special election to succeed her late father with nearly 69 percent of the vote, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th District heading into the November 2026 general election. The majority-Hispanic district along the southern border carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and Grijalva advanced easily through the July 2026 primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez Sr. faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins. A late-breaking scandal, dramatic national Republican wave, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited pathways for an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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