Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC clustered near the top in combined first- and second-preference tallies. Lira has posted consistent gains in several surveys while Renan draws on long incumbency and state networks; Marina’s positioning benefits from her husband JHC’s strong gubernatorial bid. High numbers of undecided and blank/null responses, plus low spontaneous name recognition, sustain volatility in second-place projections. The October 4 first-round vote leaves little time for further shifts before ballots close, keeping trader assessments closely balanced among the leading names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMarina JHC 36%
Renan 33%
Arthur Lira 23%
Davi Davino Filho 3.6%
$23,754 Vol.
$23,754 Vol.
4 out 2026
Marina JHC
36%
Renan
33%
Arthur Lira
23%
Davi Davino Filho
4%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Alexandre Fleming
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Marina JHC 36%
Renan 33%
Arthur Lira 23%
Davi Davino Filho 3.6%
$23,754 Vol.
$23,754 Vol.
4 out 2026
Marina JHC
$5,003 Vol.
36%
Renan
$9,230 Vol.
33%
Arthur Lira
$5,669 Vol.
23%
Davi Davino Filho
$1,067 Vol.
4%
Dr. Wanderley
$1,398 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Fleming
$627 Vol.
<1%
Mariedson
$759 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC clustered near the top in combined first- and second-preference tallies. Lira has posted consistent gains in several surveys while Renan draws on long incumbency and state networks; Marina’s positioning benefits from her husband JHC’s strong gubernatorial bid. High numbers of undecided and blank/null responses, plus low spontaneous name recognition, sustain volatility in second-place projections. The October 4 first-round vote leaves little time for further shifts before ballots close, keeping trader assessments closely balanced among the leading names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volume
$23,754Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC clustered near the top in combined first- and second-preference tallies. Lira has posted consistent gains in several surveys while Renan draws on long incumbency and state networks; Marina’s positioning benefits from her husband JHC’s strong gubernatorial bid. High numbers of undecided and blank/null responses, plus low spontaneous name recognition, sustain volatility in second-place projections. The October 4 first-round vote leaves little time for further shifts before ballots close, keeping trader assessments closely balanced among the leading names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,754Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows a tight contest for Alagoas’s two Senate seats, with Arthur Lira, Renan Calheiros, and Marina JHC clustered near the top in combined first- and second-preference tallies. Lira has posted consistent gains in several surveys while Renan draws on long incumbency and state networks; Marina’s positioning benefits from her husband JHC’s strong gubernatorial bid. High numbers of undecided and blank/null responses, plus low spontaneous name recognition, sustain volatility in second-place projections. The October 4 first-round vote leaves little time for further shifts before ballots close, keeping trader assessments closely balanced among the leading names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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