Alabama's 1st congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican areas, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore shifted to a U.S. Senate bid, prompting an August 11, 2026, Republican primary that Jerry Carl won. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election on November 3. Historical results show consistent GOP margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, driven by the district's rural and suburban composition across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low expected crossover voting reinforce the frontrunner's position. A national Democratic surge or major late-cycle development involving the nominee could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
AL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$46,961 Vol.
$46,961 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Democrata
2%
$46,961 Vol.
$46,961 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$21,282 Vol.
95%
Partido Democrata
$25,678 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican areas, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore shifted to a U.S. Senate bid, prompting an August 11, 2026, Republican primary that Jerry Carl won. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election on November 3. Historical results show consistent GOP margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, driven by the district's rural and suburban composition across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low expected crossover voting reinforce the frontrunner's position. A national Democratic surge or major late-cycle development involving the nominee could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$46,961Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican areas, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore shifted to a U.S. Senate bid, prompting an August 11, 2026, Republican primary that Jerry Carl won. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election on November 3. Historical results show consistent GOP margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, driven by the district's rural and suburban composition across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low expected crossover voting reinforce the frontrunner's position. A national Democratic surge or major late-cycle development involving the nominee could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,961Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican areas, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore shifted to a U.S. Senate bid, prompting an August 11, 2026, Republican primary that Jerry Carl won. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election on November 3. Historical results show consistent GOP margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, driven by the district's rural and suburban composition across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low expected crossover voting reinforce the frontrunner's position. A national Democratic surge or major late-cycle development involving the nominee could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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