**The Polymarket on Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) seat totals reflects trader consensus around modest gains for the party led by Éric Duhaime in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with the closest probabilities clustered on the 8–13 seat range amid a fragmented five-party contest.** Recent provincial polling aggregates show the PCQ holding steady near 14% support, behind the Parti Québécois (around 28–30%), Coalition Avenir Québec (now tied or close at 23–27% after recent gains), and the Parti libéral du Québec (around 20%). Seat models from 338Canada and similar forecasters project the PCQ winning roughly 5–11 seats on average, with ranges extending to 16 depending on regional efficiency, driven by stronger backing in the Quebec City area and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches rather than uniform province-wide strength. This positioning keeps outcomes tightly contested because the PCQ’s vote is geographically concentrated yet vulnerable to three-way races, vote splitting among francophone voters, and the new electoral map. The party currently holds one seat via a recent defector and is targeting official party status (typically requiring around a dozen MNAs). Its platform emphasizes pro-family measures, spending restraint, and regional priorities, with Duhaime campaigning in Bellechasse. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, Quebec City-specific dynamics, or broader realignment among CAQ or PLQ voters could widen or narrow the seat range before polling day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano11-13 25%
8-10 23%
<5 14%
5-7 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
<5
14%
5-7
13%
8-10
23%
11-13
25%
14-16
9%
17+
4%
11-13 25%
8-10 23%
<5 14%
5-7 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$1,230 Wol.
14%
5-7
$361 Wol.
13%
8-10
$829 Wol.
23%
11-13
$947 Wol.
25%
14-16
$744 Wol.
9%
17+
$716 Wol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Polymarket on Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) seat totals reflects trader consensus around modest gains for the party led by Éric Duhaime in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with the closest probabilities clustered on the 8–13 seat range amid a fragmented five-party contest.**
Recent provincial polling aggregates show the PCQ holding steady near 14% support, behind the Parti Québécois (around 28–30%), Coalition Avenir Québec (now tied or close at 23–27% after recent gains), and the Parti libéral du Québec (around 20%). Seat models from 338Canada and similar forecasters project the PCQ winning roughly 5–11 seats on average, with ranges extending to 16 depending on regional efficiency, driven by stronger backing in the Quebec City area and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches rather than uniform province-wide strength.
This positioning keeps outcomes tightly contested because the PCQ’s vote is geographically concentrated yet vulnerable to three-way races, vote splitting among francophone voters, and the new electoral map. The party currently holds one seat via a recent defector and is targeting official party status (typically requiring around a dozen MNAs). Its platform emphasizes pro-family measures, spending restraint, and regional priorities, with Duhaime campaigning in Bellechasse. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, Quebec City-specific dynamics, or broader realignment among CAQ or PLQ voters could widen or narrow the seat range before polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,826Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**The Polymarket on Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) seat totals reflects trader consensus around modest gains for the party led by Éric Duhaime in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with the closest probabilities clustered on the 8–13 seat range amid a fragmented five-party contest.**
Recent provincial polling aggregates show the PCQ holding steady near 14% support, behind the Parti Québécois (around 28–30%), Coalition Avenir Québec (now tied or close at 23–27% after recent gains), and the Parti libéral du Québec (around 20%). Seat models from 338Canada and similar forecasters project the PCQ winning roughly 5–11 seats on average, with ranges extending to 16 depending on regional efficiency, driven by stronger backing in the Quebec City area and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches rather than uniform province-wide strength.
This positioning keeps outcomes tightly contested because the PCQ’s vote is geographically concentrated yet vulnerable to three-way races, vote splitting among francophone voters, and the new electoral map. The party currently holds one seat via a recent defector and is targeting official party status (typically requiring around a dozen MNAs). Its platform emphasizes pro-family measures, spending restraint, and regional priorities, with Duhaime campaigning in Bellechasse. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, Quebec City-specific dynamics, or broader realignment among CAQ or PLQ voters could widen or narrow the seat range before polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$4,826Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The Polymarket on Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) seat totals reflects trader consensus around modest gains for the party led by Éric Duhaime in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with the closest probabilities clustered on the 8–13 seat range amid a fragmented five-party contest.** Recent provincial polling aggregates show the PCQ holding steady near 14% support, behind the Parti Québécois (around 28–30%), Coalition Avenir Québec (now tied or close at 23–27% after recent gains), and the Parti libéral du Québec (around 20%). Seat models from 338Canada and similar forecasters project the PCQ winning roughly 5–11 seats on average, with ranges extending to 16 depending on regional efficiency, driven by stronger backing in the Quebec City area and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches rather than uniform province-wide strength. This positioning keeps outcomes tightly contested because the PCQ’s vote is geographically concentrated yet vulnerable to three-way races, vote splitting among francophone voters, and the new electoral map. The party currently holds one seat via a recent defector and is targeting official party status (typically requiring around a dozen MNAs). Its platform emphasizes pro-family measures, spending restraint, and regional priorities, with Duhaime campaigning in Bellechasse. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, Quebec City-specific dynamics, or broader realignment among CAQ or PLQ voters could widen or narrow the seat range before polling day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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