Recent polling shows the Quebec election campaign, underway since late August for the October 5 vote, remains fluid for second place. A Synopsis survey conducted August 24-26 found the CAQ surging seven points to tie the leading PQ at 27-28 percent, while the PLQ fell six points to 20 percent amid weak francophone support. Seat projections from 338Canada and Poliwave indicate the Liberals could still secure second via Montreal concentration despite lower overall support, creating a close contest with the CAQ. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and regional voting patterns continue to shape trader assessments of which party finishes ahead of the others.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPLQ 38%
CAQ 36%
PQ 19%
PCQ 1.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
38%
CAQ
36%
PQ
19%
PCQ
2%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 38%
CAQ 36%
PQ 19%
PCQ 1.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$3,112 Wol.
38%
CAQ
$1,752 Wol.
36%
PQ
$1,113 Wol.
19%
PCQ
$553 Wol.
2%
QS
$978 Wol.
2%
PVQ
$829 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Quebec election campaign, underway since late August for the October 5 vote, remains fluid for second place. A Synopsis survey conducted August 24-26 found the CAQ surging seven points to tie the leading PQ at 27-28 percent, while the PLQ fell six points to 20 percent amid weak francophone support. Seat projections from 338Canada and Poliwave indicate the Liberals could still secure second via Montreal concentration despite lower overall support, creating a close contest with the CAQ. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and regional voting patterns continue to shape trader assessments of which party finishes ahead of the others.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,337Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Quebec election campaign, underway since late August for the October 5 vote, remains fluid for second place. A Synopsis survey conducted August 24-26 found the CAQ surging seven points to tie the leading PQ at 27-28 percent, while the PLQ fell six points to 20 percent amid weak francophone support. Seat projections from 338Canada and Poliwave indicate the Liberals could still secure second via Montreal concentration despite lower overall support, creating a close contest with the CAQ. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and regional voting patterns continue to shape trader assessments of which party finishes ahead of the others.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$8,337Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Quebec election campaign, underway since late August for the October 5 vote, remains fluid for second place. A Synopsis survey conducted August 24-26 found the CAQ surging seven points to tie the leading PQ at 27-28 percent, while the PLQ fell six points to 20 percent amid weak francophone support. Seat projections from 338Canada and Poliwave indicate the Liberals could still secure second via Montreal concentration despite lower overall support, creating a close contest with the CAQ. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and regional voting patterns continue to shape trader assessments of which party finishes ahead of the others.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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