**Recent polling and party preparations indicate low likelihood of a Likud-RZP joint list.** RZP (led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich) independently finalized its Knesset slate via primaries in late July 2026, with Smotrich in the top spot and other sitting MKs securing prominent positions ahead of the September submission deadline to the Central Elections Committee. Multiple late-August 2026 surveys show RZP polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, which targets overlapping religious-nationalist voters, while Likud has completed its own primary and maintains a separate list. Netanyahu has publicly urged right-wing unity—particularly between RZP and Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit—but Ben-Gvir has rejected such arrangements, and no formal merger talks between Likud and RZP have advanced. Past elections featured surplus-vote agreements or technical blocs rather than full mergers, and the absence of any announced joint ticket with weeks remaining before list finalization supports trader consensus favoring separate runs. Scheduled events such as the October 27 election leave little time for a last-minute consolidation that would alter current positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano12% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
12% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Recent polling and party preparations indicate low likelihood of a Likud-RZP joint list.** RZP (led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich) independently finalized its Knesset slate via primaries in late July 2026, with Smotrich in the top spot and other sitting MKs securing prominent positions ahead of the September submission deadline to the Central Elections Committee.
Multiple late-August 2026 surveys show RZP polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, which targets overlapping religious-nationalist voters, while Likud has completed its own primary and maintains a separate list. Netanyahu has publicly urged right-wing unity—particularly between RZP and Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit—but Ben-Gvir has rejected such arrangements, and no formal merger talks between Likud and RZP have advanced. Past elections featured surplus-vote agreements or technical blocs rather than full mergers, and the absence of any announced joint ticket with weeks remaining before list finalization supports trader consensus favoring separate runs.
Scheduled events such as the October 27 election leave little time for a last-minute consolidation that would alter current positioning.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$492Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Recent polling and party preparations indicate low likelihood of a Likud-RZP joint list.** RZP (led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich) independently finalized its Knesset slate via primaries in late July 2026, with Smotrich in the top spot and other sitting MKs securing prominent positions ahead of the September submission deadline to the Central Elections Committee.
Multiple late-August 2026 surveys show RZP polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, which targets overlapping religious-nationalist voters, while Likud has completed its own primary and maintains a separate list. Netanyahu has publicly urged right-wing unity—particularly between RZP and Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit—but Ben-Gvir has rejected such arrangements, and no formal merger talks between Likud and RZP have advanced. Past elections featured surplus-vote agreements or technical blocs rather than full mergers, and the absence of any announced joint ticket with weeks remaining before list finalization supports trader consensus favoring separate runs.
Scheduled events such as the October 27 election leave little time for a last-minute consolidation that would alter current positioning.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Wolumen
$492Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Recent polling and party preparations indicate low likelihood of a Likud-RZP joint list.** RZP (led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich) independently finalized its Knesset slate via primaries in late July 2026, with Smotrich in the top spot and other sitting MKs securing prominent positions ahead of the September submission deadline to the Central Elections Committee. Multiple late-August 2026 surveys show RZP polling near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party, which targets overlapping religious-nationalist voters, while Likud has completed its own primary and maintains a separate list. Netanyahu has publicly urged right-wing unity—particularly between RZP and Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit—but Ben-Gvir has rejected such arrangements, and no formal merger talks between Likud and RZP have advanced. Past elections featured surplus-vote agreements or technical blocs rather than full mergers, and the absence of any announced joint ticket with weeks remaining before list finalization supports trader consensus favoring separate runs. Scheduled events such as the October 27 election leave little time for a last-minute consolidation that would alter current positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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