North Korea conducted ballistic missile launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range ballistic missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These events, detected by South Korean, U.S., and Japanese authorities, align with Pyongyang’s pattern of testing tactical systems ahead of or during scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises. The August 20 barrage occurred hours after U.S. President Trump referenced potential engagement with Kim Jong Un and ordered reductions in joint drills. With August nearing its close and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the highest probability on fewer than four total test events for the month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<4 55%
4 27.8%
5 13%
6+ 5.1%
$19,659 Wol.
$19,659 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
55%
4
28%
5
13%
6+
5%
<4 55%
4 27.8%
5 13%
6+ 5.1%
$19,659 Wol.
$19,659 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
$1,314 Wol.
55%
4
$632 Wol.
28%
5
$207 Wol.
13%
6+
$17,506 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted ballistic missile launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range ballistic missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These events, detected by South Korean, U.S., and Japanese authorities, align with Pyongyang’s pattern of testing tactical systems ahead of or during scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises. The August 20 barrage occurred hours after U.S. President Trump referenced potential engagement with Kim Jong Un and ordered reductions in joint drills. With August nearing its close and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the highest probability on fewer than four total test events for the month.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,659Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted ballistic missile launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range ballistic missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These events, detected by South Korean, U.S., and Japanese authorities, align with Pyongyang’s pattern of testing tactical systems ahead of or during scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises. The August 20 barrage occurred hours after U.S. President Trump referenced potential engagement with Kim Jong Un and ordered reductions in joint drills. With August nearing its close and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the highest probability on fewer than four total test events for the month.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Wolumen
$19,659Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea conducted ballistic missile launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range ballistic missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These events, detected by South Korean, U.S., and Japanese authorities, align with Pyongyang’s pattern of testing tactical systems ahead of or during scaled-back U.S.-South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises. The August 20 barrage occurred hours after U.S. President Trump referenced potential engagement with Kim Jong Un and ordered reductions in joint drills. With August nearing its close and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the highest probability on fewer than four total test events for the month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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