**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
15°C or below 91%
18°C 91%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
91%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
91%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 91%
18°C 91%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
91%
16°C
$0 Wol.
18%
17°C
$0 Wol.
18%
18°C
$34 Wol.
91%
19°C
$317 Wol.
-
20°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$126 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$262 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$315 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$15 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,229Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,229Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania