Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling under higher dew points around 13–15°C. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in front timing or cloud cover introduce uncertainty, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 15°C, 16°C, and cooler thresholds like 12°C or below. These reflect typical early-September climatology transitioning from summer warmth, with any clearer skies or stronger advection of maritime air able to shift the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
15°C 34%
12°C or below 31%
16°C 30%
14°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
31%
13°C
10%
14°C
29%
15°C
34%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
15°C 34%
12°C or below 31%
16°C 30%
14°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
$49 Wol.
31%
13°C
$0 Wol.
10%
14°C
$0 Wol.
29%
15°C
$0 Wol.
34%
16°C
$0 Wol.
30%
17°C
$0 Wol.
27%
18°C
$0 Wol.
2%
19°C
$0 Wol.
5%
20°C
$10 Wol.
8%
21°C
$15 Wol.
5%
22°C or higher
$235 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling under higher dew points around 13–15°C. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in front timing or cloud cover introduce uncertainty, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 15°C, 16°C, and cooler thresholds like 12°C or below. These reflect typical early-September climatology transitioning from summer warmth, with any clearer skies or stronger advection of maritime air able to shift the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$309Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling under higher dew points around 13–15°C. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in front timing or cloud cover introduce uncertainty, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 15°C, 16°C, and cooler thresholds like 12°C or below. These reflect typical early-September climatology transitioning from summer warmth, with any clearer skies or stronger advection of maritime air able to shift the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$309Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, driven by moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling under higher dew points around 13–15°C. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in front timing or cloud cover introduce uncertainty, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 15°C, 16°C, and cooler thresholds like 12°C or below. These reflect typical early-September climatology transitioning from summer warmth, with any clearer skies or stronger advection of maritime air able to shift the realized low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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