Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 project a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C and 25°C. These probabilities reflect typical late-summer nocturnal conditions in the urban heat island, where high humidity and limited radiative cooling keep overnight lows above the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal variability in steering patterns or frontal influences that could drive sharper drops, though any unexpected clear-sky development overnight could allow brief cooling toward 23°C. The resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings, with cloud cover and regional pressure gradients as the key variables traders are monitoring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
25°C 50%
24°C 39%
23°C 7%
26°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
39%
25°C
50%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 39%
23°C 7%
26°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$118 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$86 Wol.
1%
22°C
$108 Wol.
2%
23°C
$286 Wol.
7%
24°C
$375 Wol.
39%
25°C
$1,610 Wol.
50%
26°C
$585 Wol.
5%
27°C
$118 Wol.
2%
28°C
$86 Wol.
1%
29°C
$81 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$104 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 project a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C and 25°C. These probabilities reflect typical late-summer nocturnal conditions in the urban heat island, where high humidity and limited radiative cooling keep overnight lows above the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal variability in steering patterns or frontal influences that could drive sharper drops, though any unexpected clear-sky development overnight could allow brief cooling toward 23°C. The resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings, with cloud cover and regional pressure gradients as the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,558Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 project a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C and 25°C. These probabilities reflect typical late-summer nocturnal conditions in the urban heat island, where high humidity and limited radiative cooling keep overnight lows above the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal variability in steering patterns or frontal influences that could drive sharper drops, though any unexpected clear-sky development overnight could allow brief cooling toward 23°C. The resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings, with cloud cover and regional pressure gradients as the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,558Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 project a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C and 25°C. These probabilities reflect typical late-summer nocturnal conditions in the urban heat island, where high humidity and limited radiative cooling keep overnight lows above the seasonal average of 23–24°C. Recent model runs show minimal variability in steering patterns or frontal influences that could drive sharper drops, though any unexpected clear-sky development overnight could allow brief cooling toward 23°C. The resolution hinges on official 24-hour minimum readings, with cloud cover and regional pressure gradients as the key variables traders are monitoring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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