Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 13 indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows overnight lows stabilizing around 23–24°C after daytime highs near 30–31°C, consistent with typical early September patterns under neutral ENSO influence. This strong alignment underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 24°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clear skies accelerating cooling or localized urban heat island effects altering measurements at official stations, though current data make deviations below 23°C unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
24°C 98%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$14,092 Wol.
$14,092 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$14,092 Wol.
$14,092 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$256 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$93 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$911 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,531 Wol.
1%
23°C
$2,790 Wol.
2%
24°C
$4,134 Wol.
98%
25°C
$1,735 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$193 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$193 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$93 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$163 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 13 indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows overnight lows stabilizing around 23–24°C after daytime highs near 30–31°C, consistent with typical early September patterns under neutral ENSO influence. This strong alignment underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 24°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clear skies accelerating cooling or localized urban heat island effects altering measurements at official stations, though current data make deviations below 23°C unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,092Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 13 indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows overnight lows stabilizing around 23–24°C after daytime highs near 30–31°C, consistent with typical early September patterns under neutral ENSO influence. This strong alignment underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 24°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clear skies accelerating cooling or localized urban heat island effects altering measurements at official stations, though current data make deviations below 23°C unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,092Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 13 indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows overnight lows stabilizing around 23–24°C after daytime highs near 30–31°C, consistent with typical early September patterns under neutral ENSO influence. This strong alignment underpins the 97.5% market-implied probability for 24°C. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clear skies accelerating cooling or localized urban heat island effects altering measurements at official stations, though current data make deviations below 23°C unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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