Persistent warm, humid air under a subtropical monsoon pattern has kept overnight minima in Shanghai near or above 27°C through late August, with southerly to southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26–28°C, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Multiple forecast models and station guidance for August 30 align on a daily minimum of 27–28°C amid scattered showers and temperatures remaining above 28°C through the night. This strong model consensus and recent observational continuity underpin the market’s 98% implied probability for 27°C. A realistic shift would require clearer skies or an unforecasted northerly surge that accelerates cooling below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such a drop improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
27°C 98%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$12,783 Wol.
$12,783 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
25°C 3%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$12,783 Wol.
$12,783 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$103 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$108 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$108 Wol.
1%
25°C
$22 Wol.
3%
26°C
$635 Wol.
1%
27°C
$3,658 Wol.
98%
28°C
$6,488 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$266 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,168 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$118 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$108 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air under a subtropical monsoon pattern has kept overnight minima in Shanghai near or above 27°C through late August, with southerly to southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26–28°C, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Multiple forecast models and station guidance for August 30 align on a daily minimum of 27–28°C amid scattered showers and temperatures remaining above 28°C through the night. This strong model consensus and recent observational continuity underpin the market’s 98% implied probability for 27°C. A realistic shift would require clearer skies or an unforecasted northerly surge that accelerates cooling below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such a drop improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,783Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air under a subtropical monsoon pattern has kept overnight minima in Shanghai near or above 27°C through late August, with southerly to southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26–28°C, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Multiple forecast models and station guidance for August 30 align on a daily minimum of 27–28°C amid scattered showers and temperatures remaining above 28°C through the night. This strong model consensus and recent observational continuity underpin the market’s 98% implied probability for 27°C. A realistic shift would require clearer skies or an unforecasted northerly surge that accelerates cooling below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such a drop improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,783Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid air under a subtropical monsoon pattern has kept overnight minima in Shanghai near or above 27°C through late August, with southerly to southeasterly flow, high dew points near 26–28°C, and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Multiple forecast models and station guidance for August 30 align on a daily minimum of 27–28°C amid scattered showers and temperatures remaining above 28°C through the night. This strong model consensus and recent observational continuity underpin the market’s 98% implied probability for 27°C. A realistic shift would require clearer skies or an unforecasted northerly surge that accelerates cooling below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such a drop improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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