Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
32°C 65%
33°C 20%
31°C 16%
30°C 2%
NOWE
$16,291 Wol.
NOWE
$16,291 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C
65%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 65%
33°C 20%
31°C 16%
30°C 2%
NOWE
$16,291 Wol.
NOWE
$16,291 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$287 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$179 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,520 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$820 Wol.
1%
30°C
$1,149 Wol.
2%
31°C
$5,147 Wol.
16%
32°C
$2,671 Wol.
65%
33°C
$3,117 Wol.
20%
34°C
$907 Wol.
2%
35°C
$273 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$222 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,291Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,291Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory project a high of 33°C for August 31, with urban districts reaching 32–33°C amid southerly to southeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, 70–90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Multiple models converge on afternoon peaks near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F), consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 31°C. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 30–60% introduce modest uncertainty that could suppress maxima to 31°C or allow brief spikes to 33°C depending on timing of clearer intervals. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 32°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and recent observed highs of 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will likely drive any near-term shifts in market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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