Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a nocturnal minimum near 11°C in Munich on September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Surface observations through the morning show temperatures stabilizing around this level after evening rain cleared, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 10°C for the date while falling short of warmer anomalies seen in recent Septembers. This positions the 11°C outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a shift in advection that prevents full overnight cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 13?
11°C 99.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
8°C
$121 Wol.
1%
9°C
$103 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$165 Wol.
1%
11°C
$598 Wol.
100%
12°C
$118 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$32 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$122 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$15 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a nocturnal minimum near 11°C in Munich on September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Surface observations through the morning show temperatures stabilizing around this level after evening rain cleared, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 10°C for the date while falling short of warmer anomalies seen in recent Septembers. This positions the 11°C outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a shift in advection that prevents full overnight cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,304Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a nocturnal minimum near 11°C in Munich on September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Surface observations through the morning show temperatures stabilizing around this level after evening rain cleared, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 10°C for the date while falling short of warmer anomalies seen in recent Septembers. This positions the 11°C outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a shift in advection that prevents full overnight cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,304Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a nocturnal minimum near 11°C in Munich on September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Surface observations through the morning show temperatures stabilizing around this level after evening rain cleared, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 10°C for the date while falling short of warmer anomalies seen in recent Septembers. This positions the 11°C outcome as the market-implied consensus, reflecting trader assessment of model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a shift in advection that prevents full overnight cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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