Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 18, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 56% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin and secondary support for 78–79°F, reflecting August climatology where daily minima average near 80°F with low day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, keeping trader consensus anchored to these thresholds while noting that unexpected cloud cover could nudge readings slightly lower within resolution windows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 18?
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
57%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
69°F or below
$145 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$194 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$323 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$586 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$693 Wol.
3%
78-79°F
$470 Wol.
24%
80-81°F
$244 Wol.
57%
82-83°F
$370 Wol.
14%
84-85°F
$206 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$273 Wol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$203 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 18, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 56% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin and secondary support for 78–79°F, reflecting August climatology where daily minima average near 80°F with low day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, keeping trader consensus anchored to these thresholds while noting that unexpected cloud cover could nudge readings slightly lower within resolution windows.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,571Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 18, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 56% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin and secondary support for 78–79°F, reflecting August climatology where daily minima average near 80°F with low day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, keeping trader consensus anchored to these thresholds while noting that unexpected cloud cover could nudge readings slightly lower within resolution windows.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,571Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather converge on an overnight low of 80–81°F for Miami on August 18, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s leading 56% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin and secondary support for 78–79°F, reflecting August climatology where daily minima average near 80°F with low day-to-day variability absent tropical systems or frontal passages. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, keeping trader consensus anchored to these thresholds while noting that unexpected cloud cover could nudge readings slightly lower within resolution windows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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