Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C or higher
24%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$28 Wol.
1%
7°C
$80 Wol.
1%
8°C
$27 Wol.
1%
9°C
$40 Wol.
1%
10°C
$4 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
27%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C or higher
$72 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$250Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$250Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and models such as GFS and ECMWF centers the overnight minimum in Mexico City around 11–13 °C on August 30, reflecting the high-elevation Valley of Mexico’s typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and elevated humidity limit further drops, while localized urban heat islands and orographic drainage can produce 1–2 °C variations across monitoring stations. Recent model runs show minimal spread, yet traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities to 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can alter the precise hourly low that resolves the market. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, providing context for the clustered odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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