Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
25°C 2.5%
23°C or below <1%
NOWE
$28,105 Wol.
NOWE
$28,105 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
32%
28°C
61%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
25°C 2.5%
23°C or below <1%
NOWE
$28,105 Wol.
NOWE
$28,105 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
$1,049 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,990 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$3,633 Wol.
3%
26°C
$3,301 Wol.
5%
27°C
$5,320 Wol.
32%
28°C
$4,613 Wol.
61%
29°C
$5,370 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$715 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$506 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$545 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,063 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,105Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$28,105Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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