Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS project mostly clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C. This setup favors a minimum around 18–19°C, aligning with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 19.4°C for the date and recent overnight readings near 18–20°C. Subtle differences among 17–20°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds of 2–4 m/s, and any thin high cloud that could reduce cooling rates. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture return expected, traders see limited downside risk below 17°C or upside above 20°C under current stable high-pressure conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
15°C 41%
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
16°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
41%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
34%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
21%
22°C
20%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 41%
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
16°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
$705 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$140 Wol.
41%
16°C
$0 Wol.
25%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
34%
19°C
$0 Wol.
31%
20°C
$0 Wol.
25%
21°C
$0 Wol.
21%
22°C
$11 Wol.
20%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS project mostly clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C. This setup favors a minimum around 18–19°C, aligning with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 19.4°C for the date and recent overnight readings near 18–20°C. Subtle differences among 17–20°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds of 2–4 m/s, and any thin high cloud that could reduce cooling rates. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture return expected, traders see limited downside risk below 17°C or upside above 20°C under current stable high-pressure conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,006Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS project mostly clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C. This setup favors a minimum around 18–19°C, aligning with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 19.4°C for the date and recent overnight readings near 18–20°C. Subtle differences among 17–20°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds of 2–4 m/s, and any thin high cloud that could reduce cooling rates. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture return expected, traders see limited downside risk below 17°C or upside above 20°C under current stable high-pressure conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,006Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS project mostly clear skies and light northerly winds over Beijing on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C. This setup favors a minimum around 18–19°C, aligning with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 19.4°C for the date and recent overnight readings near 18–20°C. Subtle differences among 17–20°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds of 2–4 m/s, and any thin high cloud that could reduce cooling rates. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture return expected, traders see limited downside risk below 17°C or upside above 20°C under current stable high-pressure conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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