Forecast models from multiple sources, including international and Chinese meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus aligns with the long-term average high of 29.0°C for the date while reflecting typical late-August cooling from recent 32–33°C readings. Stable high-pressure conditions and low precipitation probability support the narrow range, with 30°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 44.5% as traders weigh consistent model outputs ahead of final observations. Historical records show occasional excursions above 33°C remain possible but uncommon under current steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 44%
31°C 33%
29°C 11%
32°C 6%
NOWE
$10,282 Wol.
NOWE
$10,282 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
44%
31°C
33%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 33%
29°C 11%
32°C 6%
NOWE
$10,282 Wol.
NOWE
$10,282 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$719 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$501 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$271 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$986 Wol.
5%
29°C
$1,223 Wol.
11%
30°C
$2,036 Wol.
44%
31°C
$1,319 Wol.
33%
32°C
$1,006 Wol.
6%
33°C
$1,434 Wol.
3%
34°C
$273 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$514 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including international and Chinese meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus aligns with the long-term average high of 29.0°C for the date while reflecting typical late-August cooling from recent 32–33°C readings. Stable high-pressure conditions and low precipitation probability support the narrow range, with 30°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 44.5% as traders weigh consistent model outputs ahead of final observations. Historical records show occasional excursions above 33°C remain possible but uncommon under current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,282Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including international and Chinese meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus aligns with the long-term average high of 29.0°C for the date while reflecting typical late-August cooling from recent 32–33°C readings. Stable high-pressure conditions and low precipitation probability support the narrow range, with 30°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 44.5% as traders weigh consistent model outputs ahead of final observations. Historical records show occasional excursions above 33°C remain possible but uncommon under current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,282Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including international and Chinese meteorological services, converge on a daily maximum of 29–31°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus aligns with the long-term average high of 29.0°C for the date while reflecting typical late-August cooling from recent 32–33°C readings. Stable high-pressure conditions and low precipitation probability support the narrow range, with 30°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 44.5% as traders weigh consistent model outputs ahead of final observations. Historical records show occasional excursions above 33°C remain possible but uncommon under current steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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