Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Austin documented a daily minimum of 70–71°F on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and regional high-pressure subsidence that limited overnight heat retention. This matches the market-implied odds at 100 percent, reflecting direct observational data rather than models. Historical late-August baselines for central Texas often exceed 75°F, yet localized radiative cooling under stable atmospheric conditions produced the dip. Although post-analysis revisions or alternative station weighting remain theoretically possible, the consistency across verified reporting networks makes meaningful shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
70-71°F 100.0%
$4,219 Wol.
$4,219 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
70-71°F
100%
70-71°F 100.0%
$4,219 Wol.
$4,219 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
70-71°F
$707 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Austin documented a daily minimum of 70–71°F on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and regional high-pressure subsidence that limited overnight heat retention. This matches the market-implied odds at 100 percent, reflecting direct observational data rather than models. Historical late-August baselines for central Texas often exceed 75°F, yet localized radiative cooling under stable atmospheric conditions produced the dip. Although post-analysis revisions or alternative station weighting remain theoretically possible, the consistency across verified reporting networks makes meaningful shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,219Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Austin documented a daily minimum of 70–71°F on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and regional high-pressure subsidence that limited overnight heat retention. This matches the market-implied odds at 100 percent, reflecting direct observational data rather than models. Historical late-August baselines for central Texas often exceed 75°F, yet localized radiative cooling under stable atmospheric conditions produced the dip. Although post-analysis revisions or alternative station weighting remain theoretically possible, the consistency across verified reporting networks makes meaningful shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,219Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature records from National Weather Service stations in Austin documented a daily minimum of 70–71°F on August 29, driven by clear skies, light winds, and regional high-pressure subsidence that limited overnight heat retention. This matches the market-implied odds at 100 percent, reflecting direct observational data rather than models. Historical late-August baselines for central Texas often exceed 75°F, yet localized radiative cooling under stable atmospheric conditions produced the dip. Although post-analysis revisions or alternative station weighting remain theoretically possible, the consistency across verified reporting networks makes meaningful shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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