The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
28%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,597 Wol.
73%
Republican Party
$2,390 Wol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,987Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$4,987Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IA-01 race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan in a southeastern Iowa district rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Miller-Meeks won her June 2026 primary by a comfortable margin after a narrower 2024 victory of just 0.2 points, while Bohannan secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly 4–5 points, reflecting the district’s mix of college towns, union households, and suburban voters. Midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting contribute to trader consensus favoring a Democratic flip, though the independent candidate and national conditions remain variables that could narrow the gap before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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