California voters face Proposition 40 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a union-backed initiative imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Governor Gavin Newsom and several labor groups oppose the measure, while competing ballot initiatives seek to nullify it if approved with more votes. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 48% support versus 41% opposition among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Analysts highlight constitutional vulnerabilities, including residency and valuation rules, alongside campaign concerns over taxpayer migration and revenue loss that could sway undecided voters toward rejection in the final months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
27% szansa
$3,677,522 Wol.
$3,677,522 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tak
27% szansa
$3,677,522 Wol.
$3,677,522 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California voters face Proposition 40 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a union-backed initiative imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Governor Gavin Newsom and several labor groups oppose the measure, while competing ballot initiatives seek to nullify it if approved with more votes. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 48% support versus 41% opposition among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Analysts highlight constitutional vulnerabilities, including residency and valuation rules, alongside campaign concerns over taxpayer migration and revenue loss that could sway undecided voters toward rejection in the final months.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,677,522Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California voters face Proposition 40 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a union-backed initiative imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Governor Gavin Newsom and several labor groups oppose the measure, while competing ballot initiatives seek to nullify it if approved with more votes. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 48% support versus 41% opposition among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Analysts highlight constitutional vulnerabilities, including residency and valuation rules, alongside campaign concerns over taxpayer migration and revenue loss that could sway undecided voters toward rejection in the final months.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$3,677,522Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California voters face Proposition 40 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, a union-backed initiative imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Governor Gavin Newsom and several labor groups oppose the measure, while competing ballot initiatives seek to nullify it if approved with more votes. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 48% support versus 41% opposition among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Analysts highlight constitutional vulnerabilities, including residency and valuation rules, alongside campaign concerns over taxpayer migration and revenue loss that could sway undecided voters toward rejection in the final months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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