The closely contested odds around the California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition reflect voter uncertainty over competing November 2026 ballot measures, including a union-backed billionaire wealth tax that would apply retroactively based on January 1, 2026 residency and net worth. This initiative would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts, financial assets, and business interests while limiting retroactive tax liability tied to pre-enactment conduct or status. Recent qualification of both measures in June has intensified focus on their conflicting provisions, potential court challenges to retroactivity under due process standards, and fiscal impacts on revenue estimates. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation versus savings protections, and voter priorities on special taxes could shift implied probabilities in either direction before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCalifornia Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition
49% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
49% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The closely contested odds around the California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition reflect voter uncertainty over competing November 2026 ballot measures, including a union-backed billionaire wealth tax that would apply retroactively based on January 1, 2026 residency and net worth. This initiative would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts, financial assets, and business interests while limiting retroactive tax liability tied to pre-enactment conduct or status. Recent qualification of both measures in June has intensified focus on their conflicting provisions, potential court challenges to retroactivity under due process standards, and fiscal impacts on revenue estimates. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation versus savings protections, and voter priorities on special taxes could shift implied probabilities in either direction before election day.
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The closely contested odds around the California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition reflect voter uncertainty over competing November 2026 ballot measures, including a union-backed billionaire wealth tax that would apply retroactively based on January 1, 2026 residency and net worth. This initiative would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts, financial assets, and business interests while limiting retroactive tax liability tied to pre-enactment conduct or status. Recent qualification of both measures in June has intensified focus on their conflicting provisions, potential court challenges to retroactivity under due process standards, and fiscal impacts on revenue estimates. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation versus savings protections, and voter priorities on special taxes could shift implied probabilities in either direction before election day.
Proposition 42 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would prevent retroactive taxes and new taxes on personal property, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 6:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The closely contested odds around the California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition reflect voter uncertainty over competing November 2026 ballot measures, including a union-backed billionaire wealth tax that would apply retroactively based on January 1, 2026 residency and net worth. This initiative would bar new state taxes on personal property such as retirement accounts, financial assets, and business interests while limiting retroactive tax liability tied to pre-enactment conduct or status. Recent qualification of both measures in June has intensified focus on their conflicting provisions, potential court challenges to retroactivity under due process standards, and fiscal impacts on revenue estimates. Upcoming campaign spending, polling on wealth taxation versus savings protections, and voter priorities on special taxes could shift implied probabilities in either direction before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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