Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat following Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination. Joe Mitchell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary with strong national party support, while Lindsay James won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Recent polling shows a competitive race with margins under 5 points in some surveys. Trader consensus prices align with these structural factors and limited post-primary shifts, though ongoing fundraising and campaign activity through November could influence the final outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIA-02 House Election Winner
IA-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
45%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$3,796 Wol.
56%
Democratic Party
$3,817 Wol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat following Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination. Joe Mitchell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary with strong national party support, while Lindsay James won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Recent polling shows a competitive race with margins under 5 points in some surveys. Trader consensus prices align with these structural factors and limited post-primary shifts, though ongoing fundraising and campaign activity through November could influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,612Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat following Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination. Joe Mitchell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary with strong national party support, while Lindsay James won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Recent polling shows a competitive race with margins under 5 points in some surveys. Trader consensus prices align with these structural factors and limited post-primary shifts, though ongoing fundraising and campaign activity through November could influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$7,612Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 2nd congressional district remains an open seat following Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination. Joe Mitchell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2 primary with strong national party support, while Lindsay James won the Democratic primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Recent polling shows a competitive race with margins under 5 points in some surveys. Trader consensus prices align with these structural factors and limited post-primary shifts, though ongoing fundraising and campaign activity through November could influence the final outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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