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icon for Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

icon for Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Polymarket
NOWE
Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Cisco Aguilar (D)

Cisco Aguilar (D)

$0 Wol.

47%

icon for Jim Marchant (R)

Jim Marchant (R)

$0 Wol.

47%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested between incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar and Republican Jim Marchant, a rematch of their narrow 2022 contest. Traders see limited separation due to Nevada’s competitive political environment, where the office oversees elections, voter rolls, and business filings. Aguilar emphasizes safeguards for mail ballots and election infrastructure, while Marchant advocates stricter verification measures and has raised concerns about existing systems. Recent federal subpoenas and voter-roll inquiries have kept election administration in focus without shifting consensus. With the November 3 general election approaching, factors such as turnout patterns in Clark and Washoe counties, candidate debates, or additional state-level policy announcements could alter implied probabilities in either direction.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race remains tightly contested between incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar and Republican Jim Marchant, a rematch of their narrow 2022 contest. Traders see limited separation due to Nevada’s competitive political environment, where the office oversees elections, voter rolls, and business filings. Aguilar emphasizes safeguards for mail ballots and election infrastructure, while Marchant advocates stricter verification measures and has raised concerns about existing systems. Recent federal subpoenas and voter-roll inquiries have kept election administration in focus without shifting consensus. With the November 3 general election approaching, factors such as turnout patterns in Clark and Washoe counties, candidate debates, or additional state-level policy announcements could alter implied probabilities in either direction.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Cisco Aguilar (D)" z 47%, za nim "Jim Marchant (R)" z 47%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 47¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 47% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 4, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner" jest "Cisco Aguilar (D)" z 47%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 47% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Jim Marchant (R)" z 47%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.