Forecast models from sources including GFS and Polish meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime solar heating and keep the boundary layer stable. Morning lows near 14–16°C rise gradually to afternoon peaks around 18–20°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (53.5%) and 18°C (35%) reflects this narrow consensus range, with only modest probability assigned to 20°C if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming. Traders appear focused on the latest hourly guidance and any afternoon model updates that could shift the exact daily maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
19°C 54%
18°C 37%
20°C 12%
21°C <1%
NOWE
$22,382 Wol.
NOWE
$22,382 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
37%
19°C
54%
20°C
12%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
18°C 37%
20°C 12%
21°C <1%
NOWE
$22,382 Wol.
NOWE
$22,382 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
$1,423 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$183 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$143 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$307 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$300 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$11,654 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$2,591 Wol.
37%
19°C
$3,159 Wol.
54%
20°C
$1,706 Wol.
12%
21°C
$477 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$439 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and Polish meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime solar heating and keep the boundary layer stable. Morning lows near 14–16°C rise gradually to afternoon peaks around 18–20°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (53.5%) and 18°C (35%) reflects this narrow consensus range, with only modest probability assigned to 20°C if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming. Traders appear focused on the latest hourly guidance and any afternoon model updates that could shift the exact daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,382Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and Polish meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime solar heating and keep the boundary layer stable. Morning lows near 14–16°C rise gradually to afternoon peaks around 18–20°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (53.5%) and 18°C (35%) reflects this narrow consensus range, with only modest probability assigned to 20°C if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming. Traders appear focused on the latest hourly guidance and any afternoon model updates that could shift the exact daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$22,382Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and Polish meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Warsaw on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime solar heating and keep the boundary layer stable. Morning lows near 14–16°C rise gradually to afternoon peaks around 18–20°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 19°C (53.5%) and 18°C (35%) reflects this narrow consensus range, with only modest probability assigned to 20°C if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming. Traders appear focused on the latest hourly guidance and any afternoon model updates that could shift the exact daily maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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