**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 100°F on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and moisture.** This aligned with pre-event model runs showing highs near or slightly above the long-term average of 89.5°F for the date, driven by southeasterly flow and heat indices exceeding 105°F amid a prolonged dry spell exceeding 60 days without measurable rain. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin reflects verification against standard surface observations, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours and historical precedent for similar late-summer ridge patterns yielding highs in this narrow range. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a post-analysis adjustment to the official station record, use of an alternate Dallas-area site with slightly different readings, or any revision in the exact timing of the peak temperature used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$53,038 Wol.
$53,038 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$53,038 Wol.
$53,038 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
89°F or below
$4,619 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$151 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,551 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$448 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,193 Wol.
<1%
98-99°F
$27,565 Wol.
100%
100-101°F
$6,936 Wol.
<1%
102-103°F
$4,364 Wol.
<1%
104-105°F
$3,078 Wol.
<1%
106-107°F
$962 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$170 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 100°F on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and moisture.** This aligned with pre-event model runs showing highs near or slightly above the long-term average of 89.5°F for the date, driven by southeasterly flow and heat indices exceeding 105°F amid a prolonged dry spell exceeding 60 days without measurable rain. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin reflects verification against standard surface observations, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours and historical precedent for similar late-summer ridge patterns yielding highs in this narrow range.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a post-analysis adjustment to the official station record, use of an alternate Dallas-area site with slightly different readings, or any revision in the exact timing of the peak temperature used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,038Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 100°F on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and moisture.** This aligned with pre-event model runs showing highs near or slightly above the long-term average of 89.5°F for the date, driven by southeasterly flow and heat indices exceeding 105°F amid a prolonged dry spell exceeding 60 days without measurable rain. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin reflects verification against standard surface observations, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours and historical precedent for similar late-summer ridge patterns yielding highs in this narrow range.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a post-analysis adjustment to the official station record, use of an alternate Dallas-area site with slightly different readings, or any revision in the exact timing of the peak temperature used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,038Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 100°F on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and moisture.** This aligned with pre-event model runs showing highs near or slightly above the long-term average of 89.5°F for the date, driven by southeasterly flow and heat indices exceeding 105°F amid a prolonged dry spell exceeding 60 days without measurable rain. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 98-99°F bin reflects verification against standard surface observations, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours and historical precedent for similar late-summer ridge patterns yielding highs in this narrow range. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a post-analysis adjustment to the official station record, use of an alternate Dallas-area site with slightly different readings, or any revision in the exact timing of the peak temperature used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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