Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major models centers on a 21–22°C maximum for Toronto on September 18 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow. This positions 22°C as the slight market leader at 36% implied probability, closely followed by 21°C at 33%, as subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of peak insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. A cooling trend from mid-September warmth, combined with high pressure and seasonal solar angles, limits upside potential beyond 23°C (12.5%), while historical averages near 21.4°C anchor the tight distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on September 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 18?
22°C 36%
21°C 35%
20°C 13%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
13%
21°C
35%
22°C
36%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
6%
22°C 36%
21°C 35%
20°C 13%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
$45 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$10 Wol.
7%
18°C
$0 Wol.
5%
19°C
$0 Wol.
8%
20°C
$79 Wol.
13%
21°C
$98 Wol.
35%
22°C
$3 Wol.
36%
23°C
$5 Wol.
12%
24°C or higher
$3 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major models centers on a 21–22°C maximum for Toronto on September 18 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow. This positions 22°C as the slight market leader at 36% implied probability, closely followed by 21°C at 33%, as subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of peak insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. A cooling trend from mid-September warmth, combined with high pressure and seasonal solar angles, limits upside potential beyond 23°C (12.5%), while historical averages near 21.4°C anchor the tight distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$328Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major models centers on a 21–22°C maximum for Toronto on September 18 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow. This positions 22°C as the slight market leader at 36% implied probability, closely followed by 21°C at 33%, as subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of peak insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. A cooling trend from mid-September warmth, combined with high pressure and seasonal solar angles, limits upside potential beyond 23°C (12.5%), while historical averages near 21.4°C anchor the tight distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$328Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Environment Canada and major models centers on a 21–22°C maximum for Toronto on September 18 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow. This positions 22°C as the slight market leader at 36% implied probability, closely followed by 21°C at 33%, as subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of peak insolation can shift the daily high by 1°C. A cooling trend from mid-September warmth, combined with high pressure and seasonal solar angles, limits upside potential beyond 23°C (12.5%), while historical averages near 21.4°C anchor the tight distribution. Updated model runs and surface observations throughout the day will refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania