Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the daily maximum at 31°C for September 16 under a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that favors clearing skies, low rainfall probability, and dry conditions after early clouds. This consensus, backed by consistent agency guidance and regional observations, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 31°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include any late-day convective development or thicker cloud cover that could cap temperatures slightly below the threshold, or unanticipated clear-sky heating that pushes readings to 32°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 99.2%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,193 Wol.
$130,193 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.2%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$130,193 Wol.
$130,193 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$712 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$259 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,354 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$37,248 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$10,703 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$25,211 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$23,275 Wol.
99%
32°C
$18,836 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$8,954 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$1,686 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,955 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the daily maximum at 31°C for September 16 under a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that favors clearing skies, low rainfall probability, and dry conditions after early clouds. This consensus, backed by consistent agency guidance and regional observations, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 31°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include any late-day convective development or thicker cloud cover that could cap temperatures slightly below the threshold, or unanticipated clear-sky heating that pushes readings to 32°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$130,193Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the daily maximum at 31°C for September 16 under a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that favors clearing skies, low rainfall probability, and dry conditions after early clouds. This consensus, backed by consistent agency guidance and regional observations, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 31°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include any late-day convective development or thicker cloud cover that could cap temperatures slightly below the threshold, or unanticipated clear-sky heating that pushes readings to 32°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$130,193Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set the daily maximum at 31°C for September 16 under a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence that favors clearing skies, low rainfall probability, and dry conditions after early clouds. This consensus, backed by consistent agency guidance and regional observations, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 31°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include any late-day convective development or thicker cloud cover that could cap temperatures slightly below the threshold, or unanticipated clear-sky heating that pushes readings to 32°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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