Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C for September 17 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge delivering mainly fine, dry, and hot conditions with east winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore. Morning observations around 27–28°C align with the expected diurnal rise toward afternoon peaks, while model consensus and historical September averages support a narrow band near 31–32°C. Trader positioning, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability, reflects minor uncertainty over exact peak timing or localized variations, though the risk of reaching 33°C or higher remains low absent any forecast shift. Updated agency briefings and real-time station data will refine resolution odds through the day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
31°C 51%
32°C 36%
30°C 8%
33°C 6%
$25,225 Wol.
$25,225 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
51%
32°C
36%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
32°C 36%
30°C 8%
33°C 6%
$25,225 Wol.
$25,225 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
51%
32°C
36%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C for September 17 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge delivering mainly fine, dry, and hot conditions with east winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore. Morning observations around 27–28°C align with the expected diurnal rise toward afternoon peaks, while model consensus and historical September averages support a narrow band near 31–32°C. Trader positioning, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability, reflects minor uncertainty over exact peak timing or localized variations, though the risk of reaching 33°C or higher remains low absent any forecast shift. Updated agency briefings and real-time station data will refine resolution odds through the day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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