Recent forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires, with the minimum temperature on September 18 expected near 13–15°C under northeast flow and increasing cloud cover. This follows a sharp cooldown on September 16, when readings dipped to around 6–7°C. The closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflect persistent uncertainty in springtime steering patterns and model spread on whether a brief cold intrusion or further advection of milder air will dominate overnight. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles will likely clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
8°C or below 96%
18°C or higher 96%
9°C 88%
11°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
96%
9°C
88%
10°C
40%
11°C
88%
12°C
88%
13°C
21%
14°C
88%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C or higher
96%
8°C or below 96%
18°C or higher 96%
9°C 88%
11°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
96%
9°C
$0 Wol.
88%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
88%
12°C
$0 Wol.
88%
13°C
$7 Wol.
21%
14°C
$0 Wol.
88%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
39%
17°C
$0 Wol.
39%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires, with the minimum temperature on September 18 expected near 13–15°C under northeast flow and increasing cloud cover. This follows a sharp cooldown on September 16, when readings dipped to around 6–7°C. The closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflect persistent uncertainty in springtime steering patterns and model spread on whether a brief cold intrusion or further advection of milder air will dominate overnight. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles will likely clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$7Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires, with the minimum temperature on September 18 expected near 13–15°C under northeast flow and increasing cloud cover. This follows a sharp cooldown on September 16, when readings dipped to around 6–7°C. The closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflect persistent uncertainty in springtime steering patterns and model spread on whether a brief cold intrusion or further advection of milder air will dominate overnight. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles will likely clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a warming trend for Buenos Aires, with the minimum temperature on September 18 expected near 13–15°C under northeast flow and increasing cloud cover. This follows a sharp cooldown on September 16, when readings dipped to around 6–7°C. The closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflect persistent uncertainty in springtime steering patterns and model spread on whether a brief cold intrusion or further advection of milder air will dominate overnight. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles will likely clarify resolution thresholds tied to official station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania