Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,565 Wol.
$37,565 Wol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,565 Wol.
$37,565 Wol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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