Recent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast subtropical conditions typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. This aligns with the long-term August average high near 32°C while reflecting modest warming from regional sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 34°C and 32% for 33°C, incorporates these runs alongside historical analogs showing frequent 33–34°C peaks without typhoon-driven cooling. Updated model outputs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the peak before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 15%
32°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
32%
34°C
44%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 44%
33°C 32%
35°C 15%
32°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$1,271 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$310 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$253 Wol.
1%
31°C
$271 Wol.
4%
32°C
$514 Wol.
6%
33°C
$1,400 Wol.
32%
34°C
$2,280 Wol.
44%
35°C
$575 Wol.
15%
36°C
$594 Wol.
5%
37°C
$784 Wol.
1%
38°C or higher
$1,009 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast subtropical conditions typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. This aligns with the long-term August average high near 32°C while reflecting modest warming from regional sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 34°C and 32% for 33°C, incorporates these runs alongside historical analogs showing frequent 33–34°C peaks without typhoon-driven cooling. Updated model outputs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,260Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast subtropical conditions typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. This aligns with the long-term August average high near 32°C while reflecting modest warming from regional sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 34°C and 32% for 33°C, incorporates these runs alongside historical analogs showing frequent 33–34°C peaks without typhoon-driven cooling. Updated model outputs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,260Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather converge on daytime highs of 33–35°C for Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast subtropical conditions typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. This aligns with the long-term August average high near 32°C while reflecting modest warming from regional sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 34°C and 32% for 33°C, incorporates these runs alongside historical analogs showing frequent 33–34°C peaks without typhoon-driven cooling. Updated model outputs over the next 24 hours will likely refine the peak before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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