Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will reach a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor daytime warming. These official guidance updates, combined with ensemble model consensus on strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, underpin the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C. Minor divergences in projected peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 22°C provide climatological context for the elevated readings. Traders will monitor the next Met Office update and any revised high-resolution runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 12?
Highest temperature in London on August 12?
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 21.0%
29°C 8%
NOWE
$13,326 Wol.
NOWE
$13,326 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 21.0%
29°C 8%
NOWE
$13,326 Wol.
NOWE
$13,326 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$432 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$393 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$785 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$518 Wol.
1%
28°C
$769 Wol.
3%
29°C
$2,023 Wol.
8%
30°C
$3,243 Wol.
28%
31°C
$2,814 Wol.
36%
32°C
$833 Wol.
21%
33°C
$616 Wol.
6%
34°C or higher
$902 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will reach a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor daytime warming. These official guidance updates, combined with ensemble model consensus on strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, underpin the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C. Minor divergences in projected peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 22°C provide climatological context for the elevated readings. Traders will monitor the next Met Office update and any revised high-resolution runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,326Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will reach a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor daytime warming. These official guidance updates, combined with ensemble model consensus on strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, underpin the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C. Minor divergences in projected peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 22°C provide climatological context for the elevated readings. Traders will monitor the next Met Office update and any revised high-resolution runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,326Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will reach a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor daytime warming. These official guidance updates, combined with ensemble model consensus on strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, underpin the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C. Minor divergences in projected peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 22°C provide climatological context for the elevated readings. Traders will monitor the next Met Office update and any revised high-resolution runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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