Latest forecast models from global and regional meteorological agencies show Beijing under a stable high-pressure ridge on August 13, favoring afternoon highs near 30°C with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble guidance clusters around 29–31°C, producing the tight market spread between those three outcomes, while slightly stronger southerly flow or reduced insolation could cap the peak at 29°C and any clearer skies or downslope warming could push it to 31°C or higher. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 30°C, underscoring how small day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction create the observed probability distribution among adjacent thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
32°C or higher 16%
$32,809 Wol.
$32,809 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
16%
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
32°C or higher 16%
$32,809 Wol.
$32,809 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from global and regional meteorological agencies show Beijing under a stable high-pressure ridge on August 13, favoring afternoon highs near 30°C with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble guidance clusters around 29–31°C, producing the tight market spread between those three outcomes, while slightly stronger southerly flow or reduced insolation could cap the peak at 29°C and any clearer skies or downslope warming could push it to 31°C or higher. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 30°C, underscoring how small day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction create the observed probability distribution among adjacent thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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