Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima near 23–25 °C for São Paulo on August 12, aligning with the closely matched 24 °C and 25 °C market outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically limits strong warming, while variable low-level moisture, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects create small differences in peak readings across official stations. Historical August averages hover around 23–25 °C, with occasional warmer days driven by clearer skies and reduced wind. Traders weigh these model runs against potential afternoon heating or cooling shifts, noting that final resolution depends on the precise highest hourly observation reported by meteorological authorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
NOWE
$21,711 Wol.
NOWE
$21,711 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
19%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
NOWE
$21,711 Wol.
NOWE
$21,711 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$320 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$810 Wol.
1%
21°C
$2,626 Wol.
1%
22°C
$1,405 Wol.
4%
23°C
$4,705 Wol.
7%
24°C
$3,947 Wol.
35%
25°C
$1,895 Wol.
32%
26°C
$1,504 Wol.
19%
27°C
$797 Wol.
2%
28°C
$521 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$3,181 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima near 23–25 °C for São Paulo on August 12, aligning with the closely matched 24 °C and 25 °C market outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically limits strong warming, while variable low-level moisture, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects create small differences in peak readings across official stations. Historical August averages hover around 23–25 °C, with occasional warmer days driven by clearer skies and reduced wind. Traders weigh these model runs against potential afternoon heating or cooling shifts, noting that final resolution depends on the precise highest hourly observation reported by meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,711Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima near 23–25 °C for São Paulo on August 12, aligning with the closely matched 24 °C and 25 °C market outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically limits strong warming, while variable low-level moisture, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects create small differences in peak readings across official stations. Historical August averages hover around 23–25 °C, with occasional warmer days driven by clearer skies and reduced wind. Traders weigh these model runs against potential afternoon heating or cooling shifts, noting that final resolution depends on the precise highest hourly observation reported by meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,711Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles indicate daytime maxima near 23–25 °C for São Paulo on August 12, aligning with the closely matched 24 °C and 25 °C market outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically limits strong warming, while variable low-level moisture, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects create small differences in peak readings across official stations. Historical August averages hover around 23–25 °C, with occasional warmer days driven by clearer skies and reduced wind. Traders weigh these model runs against potential afternoon heating or cooling shifts, noting that final resolution depends on the precise highest hourly observation reported by meteorological authorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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