Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 75% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, basin topography limiting ventilation, and peak summer solar insolation drive typical August highs near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity potentially pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from climatological norms without strong frontal systems or unusual atmospheric blocking, keeping 35°C and 38°C as secondary outcomes while lower or extreme tails remain negligible. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
36°C 54%
37°C 26%
35°C 13%
38°C 3%
$47,932 Wol.
$47,932 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
13%
36°C
54%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 54%
37°C 26%
35°C 13%
38°C 3%
$47,932 Wol.
$47,932 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
$3,056 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,335 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$2,958 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$9,912 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$3,156 Wol.
13%
36°C
$6,165 Wol.
54%
37°C
$7,250 Wol.
26%
38°C
$4,606 Wol.
3%
39°C
$5,146 Wol.
1%
40°C
$1,437 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,910 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 75% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, basin topography limiting ventilation, and peak summer solar insolation drive typical August highs near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity potentially pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from climatological norms without strong frontal systems or unusual atmospheric blocking, keeping 35°C and 38°C as secondary outcomes while lower or extreme tails remain negligible. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,932Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 75% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, basin topography limiting ventilation, and peak summer solar insolation drive typical August highs near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity potentially pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from climatological norms without strong frontal systems or unusual atmospheric blocking, keeping 35°C and 38°C as secondary outcomes while lower or extreme tails remain negligible. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$47,932Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 75% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, basin topography limiting ventilation, and peak summer solar insolation drive typical August highs near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity potentially pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from climatological norms without strong frontal systems or unusual atmospheric blocking, keeping 35°C and 38°C as secondary outcomes while lower or extreme tails remain negligible. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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