Recent European meteorological model consensus points to peak temperatures near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence warming across the Po Valley, fostering clear skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating. This aligns with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for 36°C, tempered by urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical August maxima average around 30°C, yet current conditions favor slight upward revisions; a 26.5% chance for 37°C reflects model spread in local wind patterns and insolation. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the outcome, with traders incorporating forecast updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 5?
36°C 50%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
17%
36°C
50%
37°C
27%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 50%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
$443 Wol.
2%
34°C
$318 Wol.
4%
35°C
$871 Wol.
17%
36°C
$567 Wol.
50%
37°C
$571 Wol.
27%
38°C
$139 Wol.
6%
39°C
$41 Wol.
2%
40°C
$147 Wol.
1%
41°C
$96 Wol.
<1%
42°C
$133 Wol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$443 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European meteorological model consensus points to peak temperatures near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence warming across the Po Valley, fostering clear skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating. This aligns with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for 36°C, tempered by urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical August maxima average around 30°C, yet current conditions favor slight upward revisions; a 26.5% chance for 37°C reflects model spread in local wind patterns and insolation. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the outcome, with traders incorporating forecast updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,768Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European meteorological model consensus points to peak temperatures near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence warming across the Po Valley, fostering clear skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating. This aligns with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for 36°C, tempered by urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical August maxima average around 30°C, yet current conditions favor slight upward revisions; a 26.5% chance for 37°C reflects model spread in local wind patterns and insolation. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the outcome, with traders incorporating forecast updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,768Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European meteorological model consensus points to peak temperatures near 36°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high-pressure subsidence warming across the Po Valley, fostering clear skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating. This aligns with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for 36°C, tempered by urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical August maxima average around 30°C, yet current conditions favor slight upward revisions; a 26.5% chance for 37°C reflects model spread in local wind patterns and insolation. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the outcome, with traders incorporating forecast updates expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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