Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami's August 12 high near 90–92°F under typical summer conditions of partly sunny skies, southeast winds around 10 mph, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors align with the 92–93°F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 65.5 percent, as sea-breeze moderation and convective cooling usually prevent stronger heating while allowing brief peaks in the low 90s. Climatological baselines show August daily highs averaging 89°F and rarely exceeding 92°F, supporting the secondary 94–95°F outcome at 25.5 percent only if storms are delayed or suppressed. Updated model runs through the morning of August 12 continue to favor the current consensus range, with heat-index values near 103°F reflecting elevated humidity rather than extreme air temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 12?
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 7%
96-97°F 2%
NOWE
$15,940 Wol.
NOWE
$15,940 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
64%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 7%
96-97°F 2%
NOWE
$15,940 Wol.
NOWE
$15,940 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$702 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$959 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$640 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,404 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$2,027 Wol.
7%
92-93°F
$3,995 Wol.
64%
94-95°F
$3,560 Wol.
28%
96-97°F
$1,315 Wol.
2%
98-99°F
$490 Wol.
<1%
100-101°F
$530 Wol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$318 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami's August 12 high near 90–92°F under typical summer conditions of partly sunny skies, southeast winds around 10 mph, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors align with the 92–93°F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 65.5 percent, as sea-breeze moderation and convective cooling usually prevent stronger heating while allowing brief peaks in the low 90s. Climatological baselines show August daily highs averaging 89°F and rarely exceeding 92°F, supporting the secondary 94–95°F outcome at 25.5 percent only if storms are delayed or suppressed. Updated model runs through the morning of August 12 continue to favor the current consensus range, with heat-index values near 103°F reflecting elevated humidity rather than extreme air temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,940Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami's August 12 high near 90–92°F under typical summer conditions of partly sunny skies, southeast winds around 10 mph, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors align with the 92–93°F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 65.5 percent, as sea-breeze moderation and convective cooling usually prevent stronger heating while allowing brief peaks in the low 90s. Climatological baselines show August daily highs averaging 89°F and rarely exceeding 92°F, supporting the secondary 94–95°F outcome at 25.5 percent only if storms are delayed or suppressed. Updated model runs through the morning of August 12 continue to favor the current consensus range, with heat-index values near 103°F reflecting elevated humidity rather than extreme air temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,940Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Miami's August 12 high near 90–92°F under typical summer conditions of partly sunny skies, southeast winds around 10 mph, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These factors align with the 92–93°F bin holding the highest market-implied probability at 65.5 percent, as sea-breeze moderation and convective cooling usually prevent stronger heating while allowing brief peaks in the low 90s. Climatological baselines show August daily highs averaging 89°F and rarely exceeding 92°F, supporting the secondary 94–95°F outcome at 25.5 percent only if storms are delayed or suppressed. Updated model runs through the morning of August 12 continue to favor the current consensus range, with heat-index values near 103°F reflecting elevated humidity rather than extreme air temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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