Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions Mexico City’s August 12 maximum near 25–26°C, reflecting the combined effects of the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season dynamics. Afternoon convective cloud development and scattered showers, driven by moist monsoon flow, routinely limit daytime heating and produce the observed tight clustering between these two outcomes. Historical August averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while modest day-to-day variability in insolation and precipitation timing creates the small probabilities assigned to 24°C and 27°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in trader sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 12?
26°C 42%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
37%
26°C
42%
27°C
12%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$491 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$488 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$521 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$382 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,003 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,091 Wol.
11%
25°C
$1,303 Wol.
37%
26°C
$1,133 Wol.
42%
27°C
$844 Wol.
12%
28°C
$516 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$481 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions Mexico City’s August 12 maximum near 25–26°C, reflecting the combined effects of the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season dynamics. Afternoon convective cloud development and scattered showers, driven by moist monsoon flow, routinely limit daytime heating and produce the observed tight clustering between these two outcomes. Historical August averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while modest day-to-day variability in insolation and precipitation timing creates the small probabilities assigned to 24°C and 27°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,253Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions Mexico City’s August 12 maximum near 25–26°C, reflecting the combined effects of the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season dynamics. Afternoon convective cloud development and scattered showers, driven by moist monsoon flow, routinely limit daytime heating and produce the observed tight clustering between these two outcomes. Historical August averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while modest day-to-day variability in insolation and precipitation timing creates the small probabilities assigned to 24°C and 27°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,253Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models positions Mexico City’s August 12 maximum near 25–26°C, reflecting the combined effects of the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season dynamics. Afternoon convective cloud development and scattered showers, driven by moist monsoon flow, routinely limit daytime heating and produce the observed tight clustering between these two outcomes. Historical August averages near 24°C provide climatological context, while modest day-to-day variability in insolation and precipitation timing creates the small probabilities assigned to 24°C and 27°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in trader sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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