Recent forecasts for Manila on September 14 indicate highs near 30–32°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and moderate westerly winds, consistent with the peak rainy season when frequent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating. Historical September averages hover around 30–32°C, with model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF showing limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and lack of clear-sky conditions that could push readings to 34°C or higher. These factors explain the market's concentration on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical monsoon suppression against any brief afternoon clearing that might allow marginal warming. Updated model runs and official Philippine weather briefings will refine the outlook before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 14?
32°C 46%
33°C 36%
34°C 13%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
46%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 46%
33°C 36%
34°C 13%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$297 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$297 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$445 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$401 Wol.
1%
30°C
$678 Wol.
2%
31°C
$1,692 Wol.
9%
32°C
$2,524 Wol.
46%
33°C
$1,829 Wol.
36%
34°C
$730 Wol.
13%
35°C
$347 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$217 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 14 indicate highs near 30–32°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and moderate westerly winds, consistent with the peak rainy season when frequent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating. Historical September averages hover around 30–32°C, with model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF showing limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and lack of clear-sky conditions that could push readings to 34°C or higher. These factors explain the market's concentration on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical monsoon suppression against any brief afternoon clearing that might allow marginal warming. Updated model runs and official Philippine weather briefings will refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,457Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila on September 14 indicate highs near 30–32°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and moderate westerly winds, consistent with the peak rainy season when frequent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating. Historical September averages hover around 30–32°C, with model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF showing limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and lack of clear-sky conditions that could push readings to 34°C or higher. These factors explain the market's concentration on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical monsoon suppression against any brief afternoon clearing that might allow marginal warming. Updated model runs and official Philippine weather briefings will refine the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,457Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila on September 14 indicate highs near 30–32°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and moderate westerly winds, consistent with the peak rainy season when frequent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating. Historical September averages hover around 30–32°C, with model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF showing limited intensification potential due to persistent moisture and lack of clear-sky conditions that could push readings to 34°C or higher. These factors explain the market's concentration on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical monsoon suppression against any brief afternoon clearing that might allow marginal warming. Updated model runs and official Philippine weather briefings will refine the outlook before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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