Market-implied odds favor a Manila high of 32°C or 33°C on August 1 due to southwest monsoon conditions prevailing across Metro Manila. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active rainy season typically suppress afternoon peaks, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C per climatological data. Urban heat island effects and variable insolation from intermittent breaks in cloud can push readings 1°C higher on clearer intervals, while stronger convective activity or heavier rainfall favors the lower end. PAGASA monitoring and regional model consensus indicate limited deviation from these seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon observations amid ongoing moisture influx.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 1?
32°C 45%
33°C 45%
34°C 10%
35°C 4%
$10,459 Wol.
$10,459 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
45%
33°C
45%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 45%
34°C 10%
35°C 4%
$10,459 Wol.
$10,459 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
$263 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,121 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,022 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,169 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$709 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,050 Wol.
45%
33°C
$941 Wol.
45%
34°C
$1,629 Wol.
10%
35°C
$1,404 Wol.
4%
36°C
$699 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$451 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a Manila high of 32°C or 33°C on August 1 due to southwest monsoon conditions prevailing across Metro Manila. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active rainy season typically suppress afternoon peaks, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C per climatological data. Urban heat island effects and variable insolation from intermittent breaks in cloud can push readings 1°C higher on clearer intervals, while stronger convective activity or heavier rainfall favors the lower end. PAGASA monitoring and regional model consensus indicate limited deviation from these seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon observations amid ongoing moisture influx.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,459Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a Manila high of 32°C or 33°C on August 1 due to southwest monsoon conditions prevailing across Metro Manila. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active rainy season typically suppress afternoon peaks, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C per climatological data. Urban heat island effects and variable insolation from intermittent breaks in cloud can push readings 1°C higher on clearer intervals, while stronger convective activity or heavier rainfall favors the lower end. PAGASA monitoring and regional model consensus indicate limited deviation from these seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon observations amid ongoing moisture influx.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,459Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor a Manila high of 32°C or 33°C on August 1 due to southwest monsoon conditions prevailing across Metro Manila. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the active rainy season typically suppress afternoon peaks, keeping daily maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C per climatological data. Urban heat island effects and variable insolation from intermittent breaks in cloud can push readings 1°C higher on clearer intervals, while stronger convective activity or heavier rainfall favors the lower end. PAGASA monitoring and regional model consensus indicate limited deviation from these seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon observations amid ongoing moisture influx.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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