Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a high of 20–21°C for London on September 17 under westerly flow, with morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing that limits solar heating. Brisk winds of 10–13 mph suppress boundary-layer warming, while mid-September climatology places typical maxima near 19°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, with only modest upside risk if cloud breaks earlier than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 20–21°C, reflecting the latest official guidance and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 17?
Highest temperature in London on September 17?
21°C 59%
20°C 28%
22°C 10%
19°C 4%
NOWE
$20,701 Wol.
NOWE
$20,701 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
28%
21°C
59%
22°C
10%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 59%
20°C 28%
22°C 10%
19°C 4%
NOWE
$20,701 Wol.
NOWE
$20,701 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$923 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$197 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$491 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,213 Wol.
1%
19°C
$2,587 Wol.
4%
20°C
$4,547 Wol.
28%
21°C
$6,047 Wol.
59%
22°C
$2,997 Wol.
10%
23°C
$772 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$778 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$149 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a high of 20–21°C for London on September 17 under westerly flow, with morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing that limits solar heating. Brisk winds of 10–13 mph suppress boundary-layer warming, while mid-September climatology places typical maxima near 19°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, with only modest upside risk if cloud breaks earlier than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 20–21°C, reflecting the latest official guidance and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,701Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a high of 20–21°C for London on September 17 under westerly flow, with morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing that limits solar heating. Brisk winds of 10–13 mph suppress boundary-layer warming, while mid-September climatology places typical maxima near 19°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, with only modest upside risk if cloud breaks earlier than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 20–21°C, reflecting the latest official guidance and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,701Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a high of 20–21°C for London on September 17 under westerly flow, with morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing that limits solar heating. Brisk winds of 10–13 mph suppress boundary-layer warming, while mid-September climatology places typical maxima near 19°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, with only modest upside risk if cloud breaks earlier than expected. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 20–21°C, reflecting the latest official guidance and the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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