Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 14 project a high near 73°F under increasing clouds with southeast winds strengthening to 10-15 mph, consistent with model consensus showing limited daytime heating. This positions the 72-73°F outcome as the clear leader in market-implied odds, reflecting traders' assessment of stable synoptic conditions and below-average temperatures relative to the 1991-2020 climatological mean high of 76.7°F. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, with cloud cover and onshore flow expected to cap peaks in the low-to-mid 70s rather than allowing stronger warming. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from afternoon observations likely to influence final probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on September 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 14?
72-73°F 54%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
76-77°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
54%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 54%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
76-77°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
63°F or below
$176 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$101 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$85 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$36 Wol.
4%
70-71°F
$774 Wol.
18%
72-73°F
$333 Wol.
54%
74-75°F
$254 Wol.
21%
76-77°F
$101 Wol.
5%
78-79°F
$110 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$179 Wol.
1%
82°F or higher
$405 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 14 project a high near 73°F under increasing clouds with southeast winds strengthening to 10-15 mph, consistent with model consensus showing limited daytime heating. This positions the 72-73°F outcome as the clear leader in market-implied odds, reflecting traders' assessment of stable synoptic conditions and below-average temperatures relative to the 1991-2020 climatological mean high of 76.7°F. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, with cloud cover and onshore flow expected to cap peaks in the low-to-mid 70s rather than allowing stronger warming. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from afternoon observations likely to influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,555Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 14 project a high near 73°F under increasing clouds with southeast winds strengthening to 10-15 mph, consistent with model consensus showing limited daytime heating. This positions the 72-73°F outcome as the clear leader in market-implied odds, reflecting traders' assessment of stable synoptic conditions and below-average temperatures relative to the 1991-2020 climatological mean high of 76.7°F. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, with cloud cover and onshore flow expected to cap peaks in the low-to-mid 70s rather than allowing stronger warming. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from afternoon observations likely to influence final probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,555Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 14 project a high near 73°F under increasing clouds with southeast winds strengthening to 10-15 mph, consistent with model consensus showing limited daytime heating. This positions the 72-73°F outcome as the clear leader in market-implied odds, reflecting traders' assessment of stable synoptic conditions and below-average temperatures relative to the 1991-2020 climatological mean high of 76.7°F. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, with cloud cover and onshore flow expected to cap peaks in the low-to-mid 70s rather than allowing stronger warming. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from afternoon observations likely to influence final probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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