Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan on September 14, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting afternoon highs near 28–29°C. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming above seasonal norms amid stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer insolation. Lower probabilities for 32°C or above align with limited model spread and no strong warming signals, while cooler outcomes below 30°C carry reduced weight given current observational trends and historical September maxima around 27–28°C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window remain key variables that could shift these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on September 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 14?
31°C 60%
30°C 27%
32°C 14%
29°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
27%
31°C
60%
32°C
14%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 60%
30°C 27%
32°C 14%
29°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$2,345 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$319 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$210 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$435 Wol.
3%
30°C
$655 Wol.
27%
31°C
$2,185 Wol.
60%
32°C
$727 Wol.
14%
33°C
$469 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$190 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$438 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$183 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan on September 14, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting afternoon highs near 28–29°C. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming above seasonal norms amid stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer insolation. Lower probabilities for 32°C or above align with limited model spread and no strong warming signals, while cooler outcomes below 30°C carry reduced weight given current observational trends and historical September maxima around 27–28°C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window remain key variables that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,157Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan on September 14, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting afternoon highs near 28–29°C. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming above seasonal norms amid stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer insolation. Lower probabilities for 32°C or above align with limited model spread and no strong warming signals, while cooler outcomes below 30°C carry reduced weight given current observational trends and historical September maxima around 27–28°C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window remain key variables that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,157Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan on September 14, with light variable winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting afternoon highs near 28–29°C. This positions 31°C as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming above seasonal norms amid stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer insolation. Lower probabilities for 32°C or above align with limited model spread and no strong warming signals, while cooler outcomes below 30°C carry reduced weight given current observational trends and historical September maxima around 27–28°C. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the observation window remain key variables that could shift these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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