Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a sunny, hot day across central Texas with light south-southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring a daily maximum near 98–100 °F at Austin stations. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.6 °F yet well below the 106 °F record, reflecting typical late-August ridge persistence without significant moisture return or frontal passage. Model runs show tight agreement on peak temperatures, with only minor spread from local urban heat-island effects or slight timing of maximum heating. Trader weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins therefore tracks the latest official guidance and expected observational outcome under current atmospheric conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 31?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 31?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 5%
96-97°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
$60 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$88 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$229 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$97 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$292 Wol.
3%
98-99°F
$1,592 Wol.
56%
100-101°F
$490 Wol.
37%
102-103°F
$511 Wol.
5%
104-105°F
$133 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$140 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$140 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a sunny, hot day across central Texas with light south-southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring a daily maximum near 98–100 °F at Austin stations. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.6 °F yet well below the 106 °F record, reflecting typical late-August ridge persistence without significant moisture return or frontal passage. Model runs show tight agreement on peak temperatures, with only minor spread from local urban heat-island effects or slight timing of maximum heating. Trader weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins therefore tracks the latest official guidance and expected observational outcome under current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,772Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a sunny, hot day across central Texas with light south-southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring a daily maximum near 98–100 °F at Austin stations. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.6 °F yet well below the 106 °F record, reflecting typical late-August ridge persistence without significant moisture return or frontal passage. Model runs show tight agreement on peak temperatures, with only minor spread from local urban heat-island effects or slight timing of maximum heating. Trader weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins therefore tracks the latest official guidance and expected observational outcome under current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,772Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a sunny, hot day across central Texas with light south-southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring a daily maximum near 98–100 °F at Austin stations. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 94.6 °F yet well below the 106 °F record, reflecting typical late-August ridge persistence without significant moisture return or frontal passage. Model runs show tight agreement on peak temperatures, with only minor spread from local urban heat-island effects or slight timing of maximum heating. Trader weighting on the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins therefore tracks the latest official guidance and expected observational outcome under current atmospheric conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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